New article by Béla Tomka on the economic consequences of the Trianon Peace Treaty

An article has been published by Béla Tomka in the journal of Regional Statistics. The study aims at correcting some of the myths related to the Trianon Peace Treaty. It is available at  http://www.ksh.hu/docs/hun/xftp/terstat/2020/rs100101.pdf

Hungary’s post-Trianon economic situation is still discussed selectively in the literature on the subject, and the same applies to the wider public discourse. Contemporary Hungarian surveys of the economic effects of the Trianon Peace Treaty focus on the loss of natural resources, implicitly assuming that raw materials and other natural resources are the main drivers of economic growth. However, based on the traditional interpretation of Trianon’s economic consequences, we cannot explain some basic facts of economic history. As the study demonstrates, Hungary’s post-Trianon economic performance was not inferior in international comparison to the relative performance observed during the period of dualism. Thus, in the medium and long term, the peace treaty did not have nearly as negative an economic impact as is commonly proposed. One of the main reasons for this is that natural resources were no longer key determinants of economic growth between the two world wars, but rather were structural changes in the economy, technological advances, and human capital that were less affected by the peace treaty.